TRAF: a micro-scale street model for dispersion of pollutant emissions generated by traffic
OCTAVIAN DATCULESCU
Romanian Auto Register RAR, Research Division, Air Pollution Department
1. Background
Starting mainly with the last century, as a result of advancing industrialization, population growth and the transport demand increase, especially in the urban environment, the atmospheric pollution due to anthropogenic activities, took acute and often irreversible forms. There is a continuous accumulation of different pollutants in the environment, with severe consequences on humans, plants and animals, buildings, art works and landscape.
Traffic is the most important atmospheric pollution source in urban areas, and the environment impact generated by vehicles on the major routes could be significant for suburban and rural areas too. This is the reason why dispersion models of pollutant emissions generated by traffic are essential instruments for updating and implementing projects of urban and municipal territory planning.
2. Objective of the study
The study objective is the estimation by numeric simulation of the pollutants concentration levels in terms of:
a) characteristics of the emission sources,
b) local topography and weather conditions,
c) atmospheric processes of physico-chemical transformation,
d) processes developed at the interface atmosphere-soil.
Modelling of air quality is the only instrument to develop a prognosis of future environment impact of anthropogenic activities, allowing the efficiency evaluation of different environment pollution abatement strategies.
3. Utilization fields
a) Environment impact assessment studies
b) Environmental audits
c) Atmospheric pollution forecasts
4. General technical characteristics of the TRAF operative dispersion model
For a better flexibility and compatibility of the numerical model in terms of different conditions imposed by a potential user, three specialized versions have been developed:
a) version 1.0 - a traditional approach of analytic expression of dispersion parameters taking into account the Pasquill-Gifford classes (finite number) of atmospheric stability;
b) version 2.0 - a "new generation approach", where dispersion parameters are expressed as continuous functions of the limit layer parameters by using a meteorological preprocessor;
c) version 3.0 - is dedicated to the urban " street canyons", taking into account the flow characteristics and the dispersion conditions of these basic town structures.
Versions 1.0 and 2.0 of the model TRAF are approached using analytical solutions of the Gauss equation of diffusion for linear emission sources, while version 3.0 uses an approximate analytical solution of the linear flow equations Navier- Stokes applied to "street canyons", using the viscosity turbulence concept.
The TRAF model includes a complex specialized module for the approach of emission power using the CORINAIR-COPERT traffic pollutant emissions identification methodology recommended by the European Union as well as our own researches concerning the emission characteristics of the national vehicle fleet, based on the statistic processing of over 15,000 emission measurements over the period 1994-1999.
The outputs of this module are emission powers of the traffic linear sources and composite emission parameters obtained by the weighed average of emission parameters characteristic to every vehicle category, taking into account the composition of the vehicle fleet on the road during the time interval under study.
This emission module can be used as an emission preprocessor for other internationally known dispersion models, such as CALINE3, CALINE4, HIWAY-2, ROADWAY, General Motors (GM-SLSM), Canyon Plume Box Model (CPBM), Operational Street Pollution Model (OSPM), etc.
Besides particle emissions through the exhaust gases of Diesel (MAC) equipped vehicles, for micro-scale street models we must take into account re-suspension powders caused by the superficial charge attributable to traffic on various types of roads (treated in detail in the US EPA AP-42 document/1997).
The superficial charge includes both air turbulence effects induced by the traffic wave, and the effects caused by mechanical forces developed at the contact between the tires and the road.
5. Input data
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traffic parameters: flow, composition, average speed;
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geometrical and topographical data on the road infrastructure in the studied area;
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meteorological parameters: average wind speed and direction, average temperature, global solar radiation or cloudiness degree, atmospheric stability class and mixing height for version 1.0, respectively the physical parameters of the limit layer for version 2.0;
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air quality parameters: background atmospheric concentration for each of the studied pollutants, as well as for troposphere ozone (in view of the estimation of atmospheric reaction kinetics for NOx/NO2 transformation).
5.1 Meteorological data preprocessing for TRAF 2.0
Unlike traditional models where the dispersion parameters and atmospheric stability classes are generally estimated through empirical methods based on worldwide experimental measurements, for the new generation models, these parameters, essential for atmospheric pollutant concentration calculation, are determined using meteorological routine observations achieved in the area under study, based on preprocessing meteorological input data in terms of the atmospheric limit layer .
In this context, the description of the atmospheric limit layer taking into account the mixing height (Hmix ) and the Monin-Obukhov length (L) has the essential advantage of being based of physically significant parameters, allowing the estimation of atmospheric turbulence variation in terms of height ; the turbulence in the limit layer is measured function of the ratios z/Hmix and z/L where z is the height of pollutants; thus, diffusion emission parameters are dependent upon the source height. To the contrary, the traditional classification of turbulence into discreet atmospheric stability classes (Pasquill-Gifford) is based on surface estimations alone.
Meteorological preprocessing is the specific method of deductively obtaining the meteorological parameters necessary for dispersion models, using available synoptic data, as well as the means by which the hourly series of data over long time periods are statistically processed to produce the climatology of dispersion categories.
In view of the improvement and standardization at European level of methodologies for meteorological data preprocessing, in the last years the program COST 710 was implemented, the main principles of which were applied in the present paper.
The physical basis of modern meteorological preprocessors is the parametric evaluation of the atmospheric limit layer structure, including the interaction at the soil level (at surface). Generally, two alternative methods are used:
I. The vertical wind and temperature profiles method based on the similarity theory Monin - Obukhov (Holtslag - Van Ulden scheme, KNMI, the Netherlands):
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Examples of meteorological preprocessors:
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PCRAMMET (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, USA);
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HPDM - Hybrid Plume Dispersion Model (Electric Power Research Institute, USA);
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UK-ADMS - Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling System (Cambridge Environmental Research Consultants - CERC, UK);
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FMI - Finnish Meteorological Institute (Finnish Meteorological Institute - FMI, Finland).
II. The surface energy audit (Berkowicz-Prahm scheme, NERI National Environmental Research Institute, Denmark)
Examples of meteorological preprocessors:
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OML - Operationelle Meteorologiske Luftkvalitetsmodeller (National Environmental Research Institute - NERI, Denmark);
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SMHI - Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute - SMHI, Sweden).
The main parameters of the planet limit layer obtained through meteorological preprocessors are friction speed (u * ), Monin-Obukhov length (L), mixture height (Hmix), convective speed scale (w.) and temperature scale for heat turbulent transfer.
5.2. Background concentration levels
According to the present methodology, in order to estimate by numerical simulation the atmospheric concentration of a pollutant in a given reception point, we must correlate the TRAF model outputs with background concentration levels of the said pollutant; the total concentration C is obtained by adding the local street-level concentration Cs obtained by means of the TRAF model with the background concentration Cf. For each pollutant there are residual concentration levels produced by sources other than traffic: natural emissions (biogenic or mineral), other anthropogenic activities like industry, residential heating, transport means other than road ones, conducted at an urban, regional, continental or planetary scale.
For the evaluation of these components of background concentrations, two methods are available:
a) using data on air quality measured by the national and world stations for environment monitoring (the Meteorological World Organization - WMO and EMEP);
b) using the outputs of existing meso-scale dispersion models , for example:
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RAM - Regulatory Air Model (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, USA);
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UAM - Urban Airshed Model (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, USA);
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CALGRID - California Grid Model (Earth Tech, Inc., Sigma Research Corporation, USA);
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CALPUFF - California Puff Model (Earth Tech, Inc., Sigma Research Corporation, USA);
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ADMS-Urban - Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling System - Urban (Cambridge Environmental Research Consultants - CERC, UK), or the urban meso-scale model TRAFURB developed by the author of the present paper.
Versions 1.0 and 2.0 are available; they use analytical solutions of the Gauss diffusion equation for surface emission sources, treated as an infinite network of infinitesimal pointlike sources.
Version 1.0 - uses a classical approach of the analytical expression of the vertical dispersion parameter in terms of the Pasquill-Gifford discreet classes of atmospheric stability;
Version 2.0 - is a new generation model where the vertical dispersion parameter is expressed as a continuous function of the parameters of the planet limit layer obtained through a meteorological preprocessing system.
6. Output data
Average hourly atmospheric concentrations of 10 pollutants:
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CO - (carbon monoxide)
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VOC - (volatile organic compounds)
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NOx - (nitrogen oxides)
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NO 2 - (nitrogen dioxide)
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PM10 - (suspension powder - inhalable particles with the equivalent aerodynamical diameter below 10 microns, including road dust re-suspended by traffic)
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SO 2 - (sulfur dioxide)
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Pb - (lead)
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NH 3 - (ammonia)
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C 6 H 6 - (benzene)
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HCHO - (formaldehyde).
The results can be presented both under numerical form (table) and graphical form (see fig. 1 and 2).
7. Verification - validation
The predictive capabilities of TRAF and TRAFURB models have been preliminarily tested by comparison to experimental data on urban and suburban air quality in Bucharest area; the results were in line with the limits established by performance criteria for atmospheric dispersion models.
Extending the comparison between the numerical program application results and experimental data on air quality in the proximity of traffic ways will allow the validation and further improvement of calculation methodologies used as predictive approaches.
7.1. Equipment used in real time measurements of air quality in the proximity of traffic ways
1994-1996
The measurements conducted in collaboration with Bucharest Environmental Protection Agency were made with the mobile lab belonging to this institution, having the following monitoring equipment for air quality and local meteorological parameters:
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CO - ICARE CMV (selective infrared absorption);
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HC - SERES HCNM 2000 (flame ionization);
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NO / NO 2 / NOx - SERES NOX 2000 (chemiluminescence);
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O 3 - SERES OZ 2000 (ultraviolet photometry);
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SO 2 - SERES SF 2000 (ultraviolet fluorescence);
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Suspension Powder - ENVIRONEMENT MPSI 100 (beta radiation absorption through filter);
7.2. Automatic Meteorological micro-station SOLOMAT 4000 MetLab.
1997-1999
The measurements were made with RAR own mobile lab equipped for the moment with only one performing analyzer: CO - HORIBA APMA-360 (infrared selective absorption).
The resulting database on air quality in the proximity of traffic ways has been completed and correlated with:
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traffic measurement results (flow, composition, average speed);
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emission measurement results (tests in the traffic with the help of theTraffic Police);
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background meteorological data recorded at the Bucharest-Baneasa and Bucharest-Afumati stations, obtained from the National Meteorology and Hydrology Institute (INMH), indispensable for dispersion modelling at an urban meso-scale (background urban pollution).
7.3. Examples of TRAF model application: Bucharest (urban and suburban area)
7.3.1. Atmospheric concentrations - short time averages (hourly values)
For a first analysis of the predictive performances of dispersion models, carbon monoxide (CO) was selected taking into account the following:
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CO is relatively inert from the chemical point of view in the atmosphere at an urban scale, having no natural emission sources;
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Traffic is by far the most important emission source of this pollutant into urban atmosphere (over 90% in Bucharest in the summer period, as shown in a detailed emission inventory conducted in the period 1994-1995;
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CO is an important pollutant from the population health point of view.
The first comparison between the experimental results and the results obtained by numerical simulation with TRAF model (version 1.0) as well as with other 5 dispersion models at street micro-scale was made for a reception point situated at about 4m from the edge of Bucharest-Ploiesti Route (DN1), across the road from the Bucharest-Baneasa Airport ; the wind was blowing from N-NE (Baneasa Forest area), so it was presumed that the impact on air quality was due to traffic sources exclusively (the background concentration at the regional level was about 0.2 mg/m 3 during daytime). No significant airport activity (landing or take-off) was reported during the time interval under study.
As it can be observed from the following table, the TRAF model predictive performance for this case study is perfectly comparable with the one of American dispersion models; the slight tendency to overestimate concentration levels (a general characteristic of TRAF models, as it can be derived from the examples below) can be considered a positive feature for environment impact assessment studies, where a "conservative" approach is preferred.
The lower predictive performance of the SLSM model is due mainly to the fact that the model had been calibrated for high speed traffic (80 km/h) and not for 40-50 km/h, as recorded in the proximity of the selected point; additionally, the much larger size of American cars in the 70's compared to Romanian cars today has led to an exaggeration of the mechanical turbulence induced by the traffic wave, and consequently to the under-estimation of CO atmospheric concentration level.
CO atmospheric concentration - average values per hour (measured and numerically simulated).
Bucharest-Ploiesti Route(DN1), Bucharest - Baneasa Airport Area
27.05.1995, 10:00 - 11:00 hours
Wind speed (at 10 m): 1.68 m/s
Wind Angle (between route axis and wind direction): 12.28 o
Atmospheric Stability Class Pasquill-Gifford: B
Atmospheric air temperature: 26.47 o C
Receptor height from the soil: 4.5 m
Average CO concentration/hour |
mg/m 3 |
Difference % |
Measured (Bucharest EPA mobile lab) |
2.67 |
- |
TRAF 1.0 (Octavian Datculescu, RAR, Romania) |
3.05 |
+14.3 |
HIWAY-2 (William Petersen, US EPA, USA) |
2.31 |
- 13.3 |
CALINE3 (Paul Benson, CALTRANS, USA) |
2.25 |
-15.7 |
CALINE4 (Paul Benson, CALTRANS, USA) |
2.25 |
-15.7 |
ROADWAY 2.0 (Robert Eskridge, NOAA, USA) |
2.38 |
- 10.9 |
SLSM - Simple Line-Source Model (David Chock, Ford Motor Company, USA) |
1.80 |
- 32.6 |
Examples for other pollutants
Average atmospheric concentrations per hour - measured and numerically simulated with TRAF (street micro-scale) and TRAFURB (urban fund) dispersion models:
a) Nitrogen oxides - NOx and NO 2
Cotroceni Route, Botanical Garden Area
22.09.1994, 11:00 - 13:00 hours
Wind Speed (at 10 m): 0.54 m/s
Wind Angle (between the route axis and wind direction): 85 o
Atmospheric Stability Class Pasquill-Gifford: A
Atmospheric air temperature: 26.3 o C
Global Solar Radiation: 675 W/m 2
Receptor height from the soil: 4.5 m
Pollutant |
Calculated Atmospheric Concentration [ m g/m 3 ] |
Measured Atmospheric Concentration
[ m g/m 3 ] |
Difference
% |
Nox |
357 |
434 |
- 18 |
NO 2 |
266 |
281 |
- 5.3 |
b) Sulfur dioxide SO 2 (identical meteorological and site conditions)
Pollutant |
Calculated Atmospheric Concentration [ m g/m 3 ] |
Measured Atmospheric Concentration
[ m g/m 3 ] |
Difference
% |
SO 2 |
87 |
85 |
+ 2.4 |
c) Suspension powders - PM 10
Bucharest- Ploiesti Route (DN1), Baneasa Airport Area
27.05.1995, 10:00-11:00 hours
Wind Speed (at 10 m): 1.68 m/s
Wind Angle (between the route axis and wind direction): 12.28 o
Atmospheric Stability Class Pasquill-Gifford: B
Atmospheric air temperature: 26.47 o C
Receptor height from the soil: 4.5 m
Pollutant |
Calculated Atmospheric Concentration [ m g/m 3 ] |
Measured Atmospheric Concentration
[ m g/m 3 ] |
Difference
% |
PM10 |
56 |
54 |
+ 3.7 |
Bucharest- Ploiesti Route (DN1), Baneasa Airport Area
28.05.1995, 17:00-18:00 hours
Wind Speed (at 10 m): 3.33 m/s
Wind Angle (between the route axis and wind direction): 11.11 o
Atmospheric Stability Class Pasquill-Gifford: C
Atmospheric air temperature: 29.20 o C
Receptor height from the soil: 4.5 m
Pollutant |
Calculated Atmospheric Concentration [ m g/m 3 ] |
Measured Atmospheric Concentration
[ m g/m 3 ] |
Difference
% |
PM10 |
60 |
56.5 |
+ 6.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.3.2. Predictions on medium term (daily average values)
An example is illustrated in fig.3 and 4 presenting a comparison between the daily hourly variation (three consecutive days average - period 5-8.06.1995) numerically simulated with TRAF (street micro-scale) and TRAFURB (urban meso-scale) models and the CO atmospheric concentration level measured in a reception point situated in the proximity of N. Balcescu Bldv. No.24 right across the Orizont Galleries.
The time periods to which dispersion models have been applied were characterized by a large range of meteorological conditions: from atmospheric calm to wind speed of 2 m/s in variable directions; atmospheric turbulence fluctuated between specific conditions of morning and evening severe thermal inversions and a strong convective stratification during daytime with intense solar radiation, amplified by the infrared response at the level of pavement and fronts of adjacent buildings, and quasi-neutral stability characteristic for clouded sky conditions; humidity oscillated between small levels specific to noon sunshine and very significant values recorded during summer precipitations.
The high value of the correlation coefficient (r=0.94) and the difference of just 2 % between CO concentration levels calculated and measured during 24 hours (average daily values) perfectly match the limits stipulated by the performance criteria imposed to atmospheric dispersion models.